Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.603867 0.775638 0.969439 1.201713 1.469966 1.767587 2.120260
2025-10-12 0.368209 0.580321 0.851403 1.211397 1.665179 2.207080 2.891729
2025-10-19 0.211217 0.420428 0.725815 1.173568 1.783691 2.558341 3.587798
2025-10-26 0.119479 0.310020 0.629851 1.145058 1.897040 2.901836 4.292065
2025-11-02 0.070088 0.242028 0.573384 1.154202 2.052319 3.302479 5.086916
2025-11-09 0.035297 0.177103 0.498665 1.115487 2.126083 3.589175 5.739041
2025-11-16 0.021030 0.149302 0.482085 1.165374 2.332097 4.067578 6.667933
2025-11-23 0.010221 0.117292 0.444215 1.168160 2.459551 4.434620 7.452629
2025-11-30 0.006051 0.105243 0.447330 1.245523 2.711277 4.993698 8.525189
2025-12-07 0.002939 0.090186 0.436775 1.292786 2.913334 5.483907 9.511984
2025-12-14 0.001009 0.073299 0.413486 1.308739 3.059997 5.892503 10.389813
2025-12-21 0.000146 0.055197 0.376402 1.287223 3.135969 6.190965 11.111325
2025-12-28 0.000006 0.044866 0.360705 1.312789 3.302261 6.644521 12.086271
2026-01-04 NaN 0.034997 0.340013 1.322561 3.439062 7.055457 13.008686
2026-01-11 NaN 0.023753 0.302338 1.282089 3.475464 7.302719 13.688425
2026-01-18 NaN 0.015926 0.271513 1.251643 3.526859 7.574232 14.410045
2026-01-25 NaN 0.011721 0.256581 1.261303 3.658005 7.982489 15.351464
2026-02-01 NaN 0.006961 0.226756 1.220087 3.679806 8.203573 16.003633
2026-02-08 NaN 0.005782 0.227663 1.273133 3.902707 8.777004 17.221984
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003823 0.213879 1.276085 4.017561 9.164819 18.152461
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003573 0.223399 1.358280 4.309116 9.869694 19.600463
2026-03-01 NaN 0.002864 0.223578 1.408449 4.532108 10.458222 20.870925
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001914 0.214747 1.425374 4.681592 10.919433 21.943786